And I'm so pilled up that I rattle. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
Wyoming Cowboys
65 – 81
FINAL Conference
Boise State Broncos
Mountain West Conference · Arena-Auditorium · January 21, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread BOIS -1.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money WYO -108 / BOIS -112
Model Predictions
Spread Total WYO win
Actual BOIS +16 146 Lost
Massey WYO -3.5 (-19.5) — —
Massey Totals — 148.3 (-2.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 41% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 43% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WYO -3.0 (-19.0) 145.2 (+0.8) 64% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WYO -2.1 (-18.1) 141.4 (+4.6) 62% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WYO -2.8 (-18.8) 143.7 (+2.3) 64% ✗
Baseline ML WYO -2.7 (-18.7) 145.7 (+0.3) 64% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 BOIS 72 – 62 WYO
Jan 15, 2025 BOIS 96 – 55 WYO
Jan 1, 2025 BOIS 67 – 58 WYO
Feb 25, 2024 BOIS 92 – 72 WYO
Feb 12, 2023 BOIS 75 – 63 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WYO BOIS
Overall 18-15 20-12
Conference 9-11 12-8
Home 14-4 12-4
Away 3-10 6-5
Neutral 1-1 1-3
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 76.2 77.4
Avg Pts Against 72.9 73.2
Massey 8.1 (#76) 7.9 (#80)
Bradley-Terry 0.50 (#122) 1.44 (#77)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.82 (#111) 1.73 (#82)
RPI 0.524 (#125) 0.591 (#42)
Shooting & Four Factors WYO BOIS
FG% 46.2% 42.3%
3PT% 33.8% 32.7%
REB / G 37.1 35.8
OREB / G 12.4 10.6
AST / TO 1.23 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.3% 49.2%
TOV% 17.4% 17.6%
ORB% 35.8% 30.9%
FT Rate 28.6% 33.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.1% 51.6%
Opp TOV% 18.1% 16.1%
DRB% 73.3% 75.0%
Opp FT Rate 36.9% 25.4%

Game Analysis

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