Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | FIU -138 RICE +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +7 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | FIU -1.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -1.0 (-8.0) | 152.1 (+10.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -1.3 (-8.3) | 151.9 (+11.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -1.4 (-8.4) | 150.4 (+12.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -0.4 (-6.6) | 151.3 (+11.7) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 6, 2024 | RICE 77 – 70 FIU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | FIU 90 – 83 RICE |
| Feb 20, 2022 | FIU 80 – 78 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Away | 3-10 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#214) | 0.2 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#152) | 0.55 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#184) | 0.38 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#191) | 0.517 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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