Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | RICE -200 FIU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +7 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | RICE -5.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -4.3 (-11.3) | 153.9 (+19.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -4.0 (-11.0) | 158.0 (+15.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -4.5 (-11.5) | 156.4 (+16.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -4.1 (-11.1) | 152.3 (+20.7) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 6, 2024 | RICE 77 – 70 FIU |
| Feb 12, 2023 | RICE 85 – 78 FIU |
| Feb 20, 2022 | FIU 80 – 78 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#207) | -3.1 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#140) | -0.39 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#156) | -0.69 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#178) | 0.464 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 63.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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