Betting Lines
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
| Money | FIU -110 RICE -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +2 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -0.1 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -1.3 (+0.7) | 149.0 (+9.0) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -0.9 (+1.1) | 149.6 (+8.4) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -1.5 (+0.5) | 148.2 (+9.8) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -0.4 (+2.4) | 148.2 (+9.8) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 6, 2024 | RICE 77 – 70 FIU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | FIU 90 – 83 RICE |
| Feb 12, 2023 | RICE 85 – 78 FIU |
Game Analysis
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