Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | SIE -600 MRST +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +8 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -12.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -9.7 (-1.7) | 130.6 (+7.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -8.2 (-0.2) | 128.8 (+9.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -10.3 (-2.3) | 131.2 (+6.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -10.2 (-2.2) | 131.0 (+7.0) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SIE 67 – 63 MRST |
| Jan 23, 2026 | SIE 69 – 50 MRST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MRST 65 – 64 SIE |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MRST 72 – 67 SIE |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MRST 67 – 51 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-14 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-10 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#159) | -8.2 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#168) | -1.63 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#162) | -2.08 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#169) | 0.426 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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