Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | STMN -175 KC +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +30 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -6.0 (+24.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (-19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -4.6 (+25.4) | 136.2 (-20.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -3.4 (+26.6) | 134.8 (-18.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -4.4 (+25.6) | 138.0 (-22.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -4.3 (+25.7) | 139.4 (-23.4) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | STMN 104 – 64 KC |
| Feb 1, 2026 | STMN 99 – 64 KC |
| Mar 2, 2025 | STMN 65 – 59 KC |
| Jan 26, 2025 | STMN 68 – 65 KC |
| Feb 4, 2024 | STMN 71 – 56 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-10 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 63.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#203) | -4.1 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#169) | -0.58 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#194) | -0.77 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#178) | 0.473 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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