Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | YALE -2000 COLU +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +31 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -24.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (+30.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -22.5 (+8.5) | 141.5 (+25.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -18.9 (+12.1) | 142.6 (+24.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -20.3 (+10.7) | 142.7 (+24.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -21.8 (+9.2) | 142.5 (+24.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | YALE 60 – 54 COLU |
| Jan 19, 2026 | YALE 91 – 74 COLU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | YALE 90 – 64 COLU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | YALE 92 – 88 COLU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | YALE 84 – 76 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 2-12 |
| Home | 10-1 | 6-9 |
| Away | 8-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#62) | -11.8 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#95) | -2.01 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#86) | -2.47 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#74) | 0.405 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 77.5% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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