Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | PFW -213 RMU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PFW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +7 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | PFW -5.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -4.6 (-11.6) | 136.9 (-1.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -5.1 (-12.1) | 137.4 (-2.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -5.0 (-12.0) | 137.8 (-2.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -4.6 (-11.6) | 138.2 (-3.2) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | PFW 83 – 71 RMU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | PFW 79 – 74 RMU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RMU 76 – 69 PFW |
| Dec 8, 2024 | PFW 82 – 77 RMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | PFW 78 – 63 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PFW | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#217) | -4.8 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#199) | -1.22 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#200) | -1.21 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#179) | 0.431 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PFW | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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