Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -150 OAK +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +3 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -7.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -5.2 (-2.2) | 156.7 (+0.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -3.8 (-0.8) | 156.3 (+0.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -5.3 (-2.3) | 153.5 (+3.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -5.0 (-2.0) | 155.7 (+1.3) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | OAK 81 – 70 MILW |
| Jan 16, 2026 | OAK 73 – 60 MILW |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OAK 72 – 64 MILW |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MILW 71 – 66 OAK |
| Jan 3, 2025 | OAK 65 – 49 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 15-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 77.9 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#213) | -5.6 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#161) | -0.69 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#170) | -0.99 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#127) | 0.478 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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