Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | STAN +240 ARIZ -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +9 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -8.2 (+17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -7.1 (+16.1) | 152.1 (+14.9) | 24% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -5.8 (+14.8) | 151.1 (+15.9) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -7.2 (+16.2) | 152.5 (+14.5) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -6.0 (+15.0) | 153.8 (+13.2) | 26% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2024 | ARIZ 82 – 71 STAN |
| Dec 31, 2023 | STAN 100 – 82 ARIZ |
| Mar 10, 2023 | ARIZ 95 – 84 STAN |
| Mar 10, 2022 | ARIZ 84 – 80 STAN |
| Mar 4, 2022 | ARIZ 81 – 69 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-6 | 15-2 |
| Away | 2-8 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#97) | 16.8 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#192) | 2.99 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#166) | 3.31 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#253) | 0.647 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 41.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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