Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -2500 STAN +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +11 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -20.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -15.2 (-4.2) | 161.3 (-8.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -17.5 (-6.5) | 156.7 (-3.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -16.2 (-5.2) | 161.6 (-8.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -15.7 (-4.7) | 162.6 (-9.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2023 | STAN 100 – 82 ARIZ |
| Mar 10, 2023 | ARIZ 95 – 84 STAN |
| Feb 12, 2023 | STAN 88 – 79 ARIZ |
| Mar 10, 2022 | ARIZ 84 – 80 STAN |
| Mar 4, 2022 | ARIZ 81 – 69 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.1 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 22.8 (#3) | 5.8 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.54 (#16) | 0.80 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.45 (#8) | 1.14 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.639 (#8) | 0.523 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 43.3 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 78.7% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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