Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -19.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +12 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -20.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (+3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -16.1 (-4.1) | 150.8 (-0.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -14.8 (-2.8) | 146.8 (+3.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -16.5 (-4.5) | 147.5 (+2.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -16.6 (-4.6) | 150.6 (-0.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2024 | ARIZ 82 – 71 STAN |
| Dec 31, 2023 | STAN 100 – 82 ARIZ |
| Mar 10, 2023 | ARIZ 95 – 84 STAN |
| Feb 12, 2023 | STAN 88 – 79 ARIZ |
| Mar 10, 2022 | ARIZ 84 – 80 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33-4 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 8-12 |
| Home | 17-0 | 10-5 |
| Away | 9-3 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.0 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 21.7 (#2) | 4.1 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.69 (#1) | 1.28 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.28 (#5) | 1.43 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.642 (#4) | 0.534 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 42.4 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 77.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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