Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | ARIZ -480 STAN +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +11 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -9.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (+23.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -7.1 (+3.9) | 153.6 (+25.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -7.0 (+4.0) | 150.8 (+28.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -6.5 (+4.5) | 152.2 (+26.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -6.8 (+4.2) | 154.6 (+24.4) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2024 | ARIZ 82 – 71 STAN |
| Dec 31, 2023 | STAN 100 – 82 ARIZ |
| Feb 12, 2023 | STAN 88 – 79 ARIZ |
| Mar 10, 2022 | ARIZ 84 – 80 STAN |
| Mar 4, 2022 | ARIZ 81 – 69 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-13 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-4 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 16.3 (#9) | 7.0 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.57 (#14) | 0.24 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#17) | 0.59 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.621 (#8) | 0.479 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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