Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.0 Over |
| Money | STAN +550 ARIZ -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +18 | 182 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -18.7 (+36.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.7 (+18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -11.6 (+29.6) | 164.8 (+17.2) | 18% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -10.3 (+28.3) | 161.3 (+20.7) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -13.6 (+31.6) | 162.7 (+19.3) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -12.8 (+30.8) | 164.5 (+17.5) | 20% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2024 | ARIZ 82 – 71 STAN |
| Mar 10, 2023 | ARIZ 95 – 84 STAN |
| Feb 12, 2023 | STAN 88 – 79 ARIZ |
| Mar 10, 2022 | ARIZ 84 – 80 STAN |
| Mar 4, 2022 | ARIZ 81 – 69 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 15-5 |
| Home | 10-6 | 15-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 87.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#132) | 25.6 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#202) | 3.06 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#172) | 4.64 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#213) | 0.647 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 50.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 45.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 37.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 79.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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