Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -16.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +4 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -17.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (+18.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -15.1 (-11.1) | 146.4 (+17.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -12.4 (-8.4) | 145.2 (+18.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -13.8 (-9.8) | 146.7 (+17.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -14.9 (-10.9) | 147.0 (+17.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2024 | ARIZ 82 – 71 STAN |
| Dec 31, 2023 | STAN 100 – 82 ARIZ |
| Mar 10, 2023 | ARIZ 95 – 84 STAN |
| Feb 12, 2023 | STAN 88 – 79 ARIZ |
| Mar 4, 2022 | ARIZ 81 – 69 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33-4 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 8-12 |
| Home | 17-0 | 10-5 |
| Away | 9-3 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.0 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 21.7 (#2) | 4.3 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.77 (#1) | 1.28 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.35 (#4) | 1.37 (#93) |
| RPI | 0.645 (#3) | 0.531 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.