Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | NKU -4000 IUIN +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +39 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -18.1 (+20.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -14.8 (+24.2) | 131.4 (+1.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -14.1 (+24.9) | 131.8 (+1.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -13.8 (+25.2) | 133.4 (-0.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -14.4 (+24.6) | 134.6 (-1.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | NKU 84 – 81 IUIN |
| Jan 1, 2026 | NKU 81 – 72 IUIN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | NKU 71 – 67 IUIN |
| Dec 7, 2024 | NKU 66 – 64 IUIN |
| Feb 25, 2024 | NKU 80 – 64 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 2-18 |
| Home | 14-3 | 4-9 |
| Away | 6-6 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#218) | -17.1 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#196) | -3.52 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#183) | -4.06 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#172) | 0.345 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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