Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 176.5 Under |
| Money | NKU -1350 IUIN +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +9 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -14.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 178.7 (-25.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -11.1 (-2.1) | 161.8 (-8.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -11.1 (-2.1) | 161.7 (-8.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -11.6 (-2.6) | 159.5 (-6.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -10.7 (-1.7) | 162.4 (-9.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | NKU 84 – 81 IUIN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | NKU 71 – 67 IUIN |
| Dec 7, 2024 | NKU 66 – 64 IUIN |
| Feb 25, 2024 | NKU 80 – 64 IUIN |
| Dec 2, 2023 | NKU 71 – 55 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 3-17 |
| Home | 12-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 89.2 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#194) | -12.0 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#173) | -2.35 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#187) | -3.15 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#210) | 0.365 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.3% | 58.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 61.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 35.9% |
Game Analysis
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