Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | IUIN +400 NKU -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +16 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -6.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (-16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -6.1 (-9.9) | 141.7 (-15.7) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -8.6 (-7.4) | 141.0 (-15.0) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -6.5 (-9.5) | 141.4 (-15.4) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -7.0 (-9.0) | 143.2 (-17.2) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | NKU 84 – 81 IUIN |
| Jan 1, 2026 | NKU 81 – 72 IUIN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | NKU 71 – 67 IUIN |
| Dec 7, 2024 | NKU 66 – 64 IUIN |
| Feb 25, 2024 | NKU 80 – 64 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 12-8 |
| Home | 4-10 | 12-3 |
| Away | 2-13 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -13.6 (#349) | -1.0 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#299) | -0.40 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#295) | -0.57 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#291) | 0.468 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 24.4% | 26.5% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.3% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 64.1% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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