Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | NKU -425 IUIN +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +4 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -8.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -7.0 (-3.0) | 146.8 (-8.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -7.5 (-3.5) | 146.0 (-8.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -6.5 (-2.5) | 146.9 (-8.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -6.4 (-2.4) | 148.2 (-10.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | NKU 84 – 81 IUIN |
| Jan 1, 2026 | NKU 81 – 72 IUIN |
| Dec 7, 2024 | NKU 66 – 64 IUIN |
| Feb 25, 2024 | NKU 80 – 64 IUIN |
| Dec 2, 2023 | NKU 71 – 55 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-14 |
| Home | 12-6 | 6-8 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 79.7 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#240) | -9.5 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#225) | -1.89 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#235) | -2.19 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#212) | 0.412 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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