Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | NKU -5000 IUIN +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +16 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -20.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (+1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -16.6 (-0.6) | 143.1 (+0.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -16.1 (-0.1) | 142.9 (+1.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -17.2 (-1.2) | 143.4 (+0.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -17.6 (-1.6) | 144.4 (-0.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | NKU 84 – 81 IUIN |
| Jan 1, 2026 | NKU 81 – 72 IUIN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | NKU 71 – 67 IUIN |
| Dec 7, 2024 | NKU 66 – 64 IUIN |
| Dec 2, 2023 | NKU 71 – 55 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 2-18 |
| Home | 12-3 | 4-10 |
| Away | 6-11 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 81.2 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#192) | -19.3 (#361) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#199) | -3.34 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#195) | -4.08 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#175) | 0.371 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 25.2% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 58.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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