Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | IUIN +270 NKU -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | IUIN -0.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IUIN -0.7 (-2.7) | 140.3 (-10.3) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IUIN -0.3 (-2.3) | 139.3 (-9.3) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IUIN -1.2 (-3.2) | 139.1 (-9.1) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IUIN -0.5 (-2.5) | 141.4 (-11.4) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | NKU 84 – 81 IUIN |
| Jan 1, 2026 | NKU 81 – 72 IUIN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | NKU 71 – 67 IUIN |
| Feb 25, 2024 | NKU 80 – 64 IUIN |
| Dec 2, 2023 | NKU 71 – 55 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 11-9 |
| Home | 6-8 | 12-6 |
| Away | 4-12 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#323) | -4.8 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#316) | -2.62 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.79 (#319) | -3.20 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#317) | 0.433 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.