Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCG -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | UNCG -600 WOF +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCG +8 | 186 | Won |
| Massey | UNCG -10.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (+53.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCG -10.5 (-2.5) | 139.2 (+46.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCG -8.0 (-0.0) | 135.7 (+50.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCG -10.3 (-2.3) | 136.7 (+49.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCG -10.7 (-2.7) | 137.8 (+48.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNCG 75 – 72 WOF |
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNCG 99 – 89 WOF |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WOF 97 – 85 UNCG |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WOF 74 – 62 UNCG |
| Jan 1, 2025 | UNCG 68 – 66 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCG | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 8-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#118) | -3.3 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#137) | -0.74 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#129) | -1.04 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#97) | 0.458 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCG | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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