Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | LSU +210 TA&M -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +12 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -4.8 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -3.9 (-8.1) | 137.8 (-1.8) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -5.2 (-6.8) | 136.5 (-0.5) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -3.8 (-8.2) | 138.5 (-2.5) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -4.1 (-7.9) | 139.5 (-3.5) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | TA&M 94 – 91 LSU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TA&M 75 – 72 LSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | TA&M 66 – 52 LSU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | TA&M 68 – 57 LSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | TA&M 73 – 69 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 15-3 |
| Home | 10-8 | 15-1 |
| Away | 0-9 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#134) | 10.5 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#109) | 1.69 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#120) | 1.98 (#57) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#156) | 0.570 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 33.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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