Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | VILL -225 HALL +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +4 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | VILL -1.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -1.0 (+3.0) | 130.3 (-18.3) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VILL -2.0 (+2.0) | 128.9 (-16.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VILL -1.2 (+2.8) | 131.0 (-19.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -0.6 (+3.4) | 131.6 (-19.6) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | VILL 72 – 60 HALL |
| Dec 24, 2025 | VILL 64 – 56 HALL |
| Mar 13, 2025 | VILL 67 – 55 HALL |
| Feb 27, 2025 | VILL 59 – 54 HALL |
| Dec 18, 2024 | VILL 79 – 67 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VILL | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-9 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 65.4 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#80) | 9.2 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#112) | 1.52 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#99) | 1.77 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#136) | 0.566 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VILL | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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