Betting Lines
| Spread | DETM -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | GB +750 DETM -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +5 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | DETM -13.2 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -12.6 (+7.6) | 143.5 (+3.5) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -12.7 (+7.7) | 145.0 (+2.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -12.1 (+7.1) | 144.1 (+2.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -11.8 (+6.8) | 145.3 (+1.7) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | DETM 74 – 70 GB |
| Feb 7, 2026 | GB 76 – 63 DETM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | GB 76 – 71 DETM |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DETM 67 – 57 GB |
| Jan 27, 2024 | GB 78 – 64 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-29 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 9-11 |
| Home | 2-10 | 9-5 |
| Away | 1-17 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.3 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -18.1 (#361) | -1.3 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.84 (#357) | -0.86 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.82 (#360) | -0.65 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.375 (#357) | 0.454 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 27.8 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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