Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | TTU -133 KSU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +8 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -1.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (-12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -0.8 (+8.8) | 144.3 (-10.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -0.2 (+7.8) | 142.5 (-8.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -1.6 (+9.6) | 145.7 (-11.7) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -1.4 (+9.4) | 145.5 (-11.5) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TTU 100 – 72 KSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | TTU 61 – 57 KSU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | TTU 60 – 59 KSU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | KSU 68 – 58 TTU |
| Mar 1, 2022 | TTU 73 – 68 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-6 | 16-1 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#53) | 14.0 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#96) | 3.05 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#94) | 3.58 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#165) | 0.616 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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