Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +5 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -11.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -12.5 (-7.5) | 136.1 (+4.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -12.1 (-7.1) | 138.6 (+2.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -11.5 (-6.5) | 139.8 (+1.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -10.9 (-5.9) | 139.8 (+1.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TTU 100 – 72 KSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | TTU 61 – 57 KSU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | TTU 60 – 59 KSU |
| Feb 12, 2023 | TTU 71 – 63 KSU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | KSU 68 – 58 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 18-0 | 9-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 67.5 |
| Massey | 17.5 (#13) | 8.8 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.20 (#8) | 1.57 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.92 (#8) | 2.23 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#36) | 0.511 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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