Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | TTU -950 KSU +625 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +28 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -15.2 (+12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.7 (+11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -15.1 (+12.9) | 156.7 (+15.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -14.7 (+13.3) | 156.6 (+15.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -13.8 (+14.2) | 152.6 (+19.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -13.6 (+14.4) | 153.3 (+18.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2025 | TTU 61 – 57 KSU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | TTU 60 – 59 KSU |
| Feb 12, 2023 | TTU 71 – 63 KSU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | KSU 68 – 58 TTU |
| Mar 1, 2022 | TTU 73 – 68 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 3-15 |
| Home | 14-2 | 10-8 |
| Away | 5-5 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.3 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 81.8 |
| Massey | 19.1 (#19) | 6.8 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.42 (#15) | 0.99 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.08 (#18) | 1.34 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.650 (#6) | 0.512 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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