Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | TTU -300 KSU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +1 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -8.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-23.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -6.5 (-5.5) | 140.2 (-21.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -6.4 (-5.4) | 141.0 (-22.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -7.1 (-6.1) | 140.1 (-21.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -6.3 (-5.3) | 140.6 (-21.6) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TTU 100 – 72 KSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | TTU 61 – 57 KSU |
| Feb 12, 2023 | TTU 71 – 63 KSU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | KSU 68 – 58 TTU |
| Mar 1, 2022 | TTU 73 – 68 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#32) | 7.8 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#33) | 1.83 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#40) | 2.08 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#46) | 0.576 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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