Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | KSU -200 TTU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +10 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -6.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -6.6 (+3.4) | 147.3 (-21.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -6.5 (+3.5) | 143.7 (-17.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -6.9 (+3.1) | 148.5 (-22.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -7.8 (+2.2) | 150.0 (-24.0) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TTU 100 – 72 KSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | TTU 61 – 57 KSU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | TTU 60 – 59 KSU |
| Feb 12, 2023 | TTU 71 – 63 KSU |
| Mar 1, 2022 | TTU 73 – 68 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 16-1 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 12.8 (#20) | 10.2 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.57 (#5) | 0.49 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.94 (#6) | 0.78 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.648 (#5) | 0.497 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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