He is handing the money / He is serving the food / He knows about your party / He is calling you dude. "Comfort Eagle" - Cake
Big 12 Conference · Bramlage Coliseum · January 15, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread TTU -6.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money KSU +260 / TTU -320
Model Predictions
Spread Total KSU win
Actual TTU +4 118 Lost
Massey TTU -10.9 (+6.9) — —
Massey Totals — 152.9 (-34.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 37% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 22% ✓
Baseline Plus ML TTU -10.2 (+6.2) 146.3 (-28.3) 20% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TTU -10.0 (+6.0) 144.5 (-26.5) 19% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML TTU -10.4 (+6.4) 147.0 (-29.0) 20% ✓
Baseline ML TTU -11.0 (+7.0) 149.3 (-31.3) 19% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 TTU 100 – 72 KSU
Jan 13, 2024 TTU 60 – 59 KSU
Feb 12, 2023 TTU 71 – 63 KSU
Jan 21, 2023 KSU 68 – 58 TTU
Mar 1, 2022 TTU 73 – 68 KSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KSU TTU
Overall 16-17 28-9
Conference 9-11 15-5
Home 10-5 15-3
Away 3-9 8-2
Neutral 3-3 5-4
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.8 80.9
Avg Pts Against 69.6 68.5
Massey 3.0 (#109) 17.7 (#18)
Bradley-Terry 0.40 (#130) 1.64 (#57)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.73 (#115) 2.80 (#45)
RPI 0.517 (#142) 0.562 (#66)
Shooting & Four Factors KSU TTU
FG% 45.5% 50.5%
3PT% 34.4% 39.7%
REB / G 34.5 37.4
OREB / G 11.0 12.3
AST / TO 1.28 1.68
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.7% 58.4%
TOV% 18.6% 15.6%
ORB% 31.9% 38.0%
FT Rate 19.8% 22.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.9% 47.9%
Opp TOV% 18.2% 19.7%
DRB% 68.3% 70.1%
Opp FT Rate 20.3% 21.2%

Game Analysis

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