Ich lieb dich nicht; Du liebst mich nicht. "Da da da" - Trio
Big West Conference · Icardo Center · February 12, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread LBSU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Money CSUB +240 / LBSU -250
Model Predictions
Spread Total CSUB win
Actual LBSU +10 148 Lost
Massey LBSU -4.2 (-5.8) — —
Massey Totals — 142.9 (+5.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 36% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 29% ✓
Baseline Plus ML LBSU -4.1 (-5.9) 145.9 (+2.1) 32% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LBSU -5.3 (-4.7) 144.9 (+3.1) 23% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML LBSU -3.4 (-6.6) 144.3 (+3.7) 36% ✓
Baseline ML LBSU -3.5 (-6.5) 145.9 (+2.1) 35% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 1, 2026 LBSU 88 – 87 CSUB
Jan 11, 2026 LBSU 81 – 75 CSUB
Feb 28, 2025 CSUB 88 – 87 LBSU
Jan 5, 2025 CSUB 80 – 65 LBSU
Feb 23, 2024 LBSU 79 – 66 CSUB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CSUB LBSU
Overall 11-22 17-16
Conference 6-14 11-9
Home 6-8 9-5
Away 3-12 6-9
Neutral 2-2 2-2
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 59.3 75.6
Avg Pts Against 66.1 75.7
Massey -6.5 (#286) 1.3 (#142)
Bradley-Terry -1.03 (#272) 0.18 (#156)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.20 (#266) 0.46 (#133)
RPI 0.433 (#299) 0.529 (#125)
Shooting & Four Factors CSUB LBSU
FG% 41.5% 44.3%
3PT% 33.7% 29.1%
REB / G 31.0 41.9
OREB / G 8.7 13.9
AST / TO 0.78 1.05
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.5% 47.6%
TOV% 20.0% 18.2%
ORB% 27.2% 35.9%
FT Rate 22.8% 20.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.5% 49.0%
Opp TOV% 19.5% 17.6%
DRB% 71.9% 72.7%
Opp FT Rate 28.4% 22.4%

Game Analysis

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