Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | UCI -300 UCR +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +19 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -8.3 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -6.8 (+12.2) | 142.4 (+4.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -5.3 (+13.7) | 140.9 (+6.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -7.1 (+11.9) | 141.9 (+5.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -6.6 (+12.4) | 142.1 (+4.9) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UCI 80 – 66 UCR |
| Dec 5, 2025 | UCI 73 – 60 UCR |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UCR 84 – 80 UCI |
| Jan 5, 2025 | UCI 81 – 57 UCR |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UCR 88 – 78 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 9-7 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#90) | 0.8 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#120) | 0.56 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#108) | 0.23 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#121) | 0.529 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 77.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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