Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UCR +310 UCI -395 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +14 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -7.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -5.9 (-8.1) | 141.1 (+4.9) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -7.1 (-6.9) | 142.1 (+3.9) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -5.9 (-8.1) | 138.2 (+7.8) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -6.0 (-8.0) | 139.4 (+6.6) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2025 | UCI 73 – 60 UCR |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UCR 84 – 80 UCI |
| Jan 5, 2025 | UCI 81 – 57 UCR |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UCR 88 – 78 UCI |
| Dec 29, 2023 | UCI 73 – 66 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCR | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 15-5 |
| Home | 7-7 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-15 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#287) | 2.4 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#242) | 0.30 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#225) | 0.53 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#221) | 0.519 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCR | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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