Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | UCI -1000 UCR +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +7 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -19.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -14.7 (-7.7) | 140.1 (-1.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -12.3 (-5.3) | 139.4 (-0.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -14.7 (-7.7) | 139.8 (-0.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -15.9 (-8.9) | 140.5 (-1.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UCI 80 – 66 UCR |
| Dec 5, 2025 | UCI 73 – 60 UCR |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UCR 84 – 80 UCI |
| Jan 5, 2025 | UCI 81 – 57 UCR |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UCR 88 – 78 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-0 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-9 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#50) | -4.5 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#82) | -0.90 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#82) | -0.62 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#58) | 0.457 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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