Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UCI -1100 UCR +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +13 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -12.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -9.1 (+3.9) | 136.9 (-3.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -7.6 (+5.4) | 133.2 (-0.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -8.1 (+4.9) | 133.5 (-0.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -9.1 (+3.9) | 133.0 (-0.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UCI 80 – 66 UCR |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UCR 84 – 80 UCI |
| Jan 5, 2025 | UCI 81 – 57 UCR |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UCR 88 – 78 UCI |
| Dec 29, 2023 | UCI 73 – 66 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 5-15 |
| Home | 12-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#134) | -4.4 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#175) | -0.52 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#147) | -0.48 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#156) | 0.468 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 25.9% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.4% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.1% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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