Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UCI -360 UCR +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +24 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -13.3 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -10.3 (+13.7) | 144.2 (-6.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -10.8 (+13.2) | 143.5 (-5.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -10.5 (+13.5) | 141.2 (-3.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -10.6 (+13.4) | 143.2 (-5.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UCI 80 – 66 UCR |
| Dec 5, 2025 | UCI 73 – 60 UCR |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UCR 84 – 80 UCI |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UCR 88 – 78 UCI |
| Dec 29, 2023 | UCI 73 – 66 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-7 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 14-1 |
| Away | 14-3 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#60) | 0.3 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#38) | 1.35 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#54) | 1.06 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#32) | 0.563 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.6% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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