Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -250 LMU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +2 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -3.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -3.4 (-1.4) | 153.3 (-13.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -4.5 (-2.5) | 149.4 (-9.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -3.6 (-1.6) | 151.7 (-11.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -3.4 (-1.4) | 152.6 (-12.6) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SCU 104 – 73 LMU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | SCU 103 – 72 LMU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SCU 76 – 61 LMU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | LMU 57 – 54 SCU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | SCU 65 – 55 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 9-7 |
| Home | 14-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#91) | 5.1 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#67) | 1.12 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#64) | 1.25 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#84) | 0.558 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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