Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | NIA +250 IONA -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +17 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -7.7 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -6.5 (-10.5) | 133.9 (-6.9) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -6.3 (-10.7) | 133.0 (-6.0) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -5.5 (-11.5) | 132.8 (-5.8) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -5.9 (-11.1) | 133.4 (-6.4) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | NIA 70 – 68 IONA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | IONA 71 – 53 NIA |
| Feb 28, 2025 | IONA 65 – 63 NIA |
| Feb 9, 2024 | IONA 74 – 71 NIA |
| Jan 7, 2024 | NIA 75 – 73 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 17-3 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-1 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 8-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#229) | 7.9 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#182) | 0.86 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#205) | 1.09 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#180) | 0.569 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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