Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | UVU -225 SUU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +7 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -6.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (+17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -5.7 (+1.3) | 154.9 (+18.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -5.6 (+1.4) | 154.0 (+19.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -6.5 (+0.5) | 152.2 (+20.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -6.2 (+0.8) | 152.1 (+20.9) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UVU 92 – 88 SUU |
| Jan 22, 2026 | SUU 84 – 70 UVU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UVU 89 – 72 SUU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UVU 100 – 59 SUU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | UVU 70 – 68 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-1 | 13-2 |
| Away | 12-5 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#82) | 4.2 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#57) | 0.84 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#55) | 0.91 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#50) | 0.552 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 31.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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