Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | SUU +575 UVU -850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +14 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -15.3 (+29.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -12.3 (+26.3) | 150.5 (+3.5) | 17% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -13.2 (+27.2) | 149.4 (+4.6) | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -13.8 (+27.8) | 150.0 (+4.0) | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -13.1 (+27.1) | 150.9 (+3.1) | 15% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UVU 92 – 88 SUU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UVU 89 – 72 SUU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UVU 100 – 59 SUU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | UVU 70 – 68 SUU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UVU 78 – 75 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 14-4 |
| Home | 7-6 | 15-1 |
| Away | 2-15 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#322) | 7.5 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#299) | 1.46 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#301) | 1.79 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#325) | 0.589 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 51.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 57.2% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.