Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | SUU +110 UVU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +3 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | SUU -0.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (+8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -0.4 (-2.6) | 145.2 (+7.8) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -0.3 (-2.7) | 144.2 (+8.8) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -0.3 (-2.7) | 141.2 (+11.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -0.4 (-2.6) | 142.1 (+10.9) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UVU 92 – 88 SUU |
| Jan 22, 2026 | SUU 84 – 70 UVU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UVU 89 – 72 SUU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UVU 100 – 59 SUU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | UVU 70 – 68 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 11-9 |
| Home | 6-8 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#226) | -0.3 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#267) | -0.12 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#243) | -0.02 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#281) | 0.495 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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