Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | UVU -2800 SUU +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +17 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -26.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -23.8 (-6.8) | 149.7 (+11.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -21.1 (-4.1) | 148.8 (+12.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -20.5 (-3.5) | 149.5 (+11.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -22.5 (-5.5) | 149.7 (+11.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UVU 92 – 88 SUU |
| Jan 22, 2026 | SUU 84 – 70 UVU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UVU 100 – 59 SUU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | UVU 70 – 68 SUU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UVU 78 – 75 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-1 | 7-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 81.3 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#81) | -14.8 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#79) | -2.41 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#78) | -3.33 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#46) | 0.373 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 26.9% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 57.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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