Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | SUU +380 UVU -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +4 | 180 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -11.6 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (+24.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -10.8 (+6.8) | 147.0 (+33.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -11.7 (+7.7) | 144.8 (+35.2) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -10.4 (+6.4) | 147.4 (+32.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -10.3 (+6.3) | 147.5 (+32.5) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | SUU 84 – 70 UVU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UVU 89 – 72 SUU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UVU 100 – 59 SUU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | UVU 70 – 68 SUU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UVU 78 – 75 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 14-4 |
| Home | 7-6 | 15-1 |
| Away | 2-15 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#286) | 6.9 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#238) | 1.22 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#234) | 1.50 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#277) | 0.579 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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