Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | SUU +320 UVU -425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +2 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -7.2 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -6.7 (+4.7) | 141.3 (-3.3) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -6.2 (+4.2) | 141.0 (-3.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -6.5 (+4.5) | 139.2 (-1.2) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -6.4 (+4.4) | 140.4 (-2.4) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UVU 92 – 88 SUU |
| Jan 22, 2026 | SUU 84 – 70 UVU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UVU 89 – 72 SUU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UVU 100 – 59 SUU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UVU 78 – 75 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 15-1 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-0 |
| Away | 3-11 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#290) | 2.7 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#280) | 0.82 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#275) | 0.66 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#313) | 0.550 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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