Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH -200 COLO +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +11 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -4.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -4.2 (+6.8) | 134.5 (+0.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -2.5 (+8.5) | 136.6 (-1.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -4.4 (+6.6) | 134.7 (+0.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -4.2 (+6.8) | 135.5 (-0.5) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | COLO 92 – 78 UTAH |
| Jan 8, 2026 | COLO 85 – 73 UTAH |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTAH 72 – 59 COLO |
| Mar 15, 2024 | COLO 72 – 58 UTAH |
| Feb 25, 2024 | COLO 89 – 65 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-6 | 13-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#45) | 9.2 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#92) | 0.73 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#87) | 1.24 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#138) | 0.546 (#96) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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