Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | ACU +125 SHSU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +15 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | SHSU -5.8 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -4.2 (-10.8) | 136.9 (+2.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -5.3 (-9.7) | 131.3 (+7.7) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -3.9 (-11.1) | 138.8 (+0.2) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -4.2 (-10.8) | 139.0 (-0.0) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2023 | SHSU 72 – 54 ACU |
| Feb 18, 2022 | SHSU 75 – 71 ACU |
| Jan 9, 2022 | SHSU 65 – 63 ACU |
| Feb 25, 2021 | ACU 86 – 72 SHSU |
| Jan 21, 2021 | SHSU 64 – 57 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-1 |
| Away | 5-8 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 61.7 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#195) | 8.3 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#186) | 1.47 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#177) | 1.54 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#196) | 0.578 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 39.7% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 24.7% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.9% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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