Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +2 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | ACU -15.7 (-17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -11.7 (-13.7) | 140.7 (-12.7) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -10.9 (-12.9) | 138.8 (-10.8) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -12.8 (-14.8) | 141.6 (-13.6) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -12.8 (-14.8) | 140.8 (-12.8) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2023 | SHSU 72 – 54 ACU |
| Feb 12, 2023 | SHSU 77 – 62 ACU |
| Feb 18, 2022 | SHSU 75 – 71 ACU |
| Feb 25, 2021 | ACU 86 – 72 SHSU |
| Jan 21, 2021 | SHSU 64 – 57 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 65.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 64.3 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#77) | -5.1 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#81) | -1.63 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#99) | -1.80 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#88) | 0.400 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 13.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.8% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.