Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | SHSU -275 ACU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +18 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -13.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -12.0 (+6.0) | 136.5 (-10.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -10.1 (+7.9) | 134.0 (-8.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -11.9 (+6.1) | 136.5 (-10.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -12.7 (+5.3) | 136.6 (-10.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2023 | SHSU 77 – 62 ACU |
| Feb 18, 2022 | SHSU 75 – 71 ACU |
| Jan 9, 2022 | SHSU 65 – 63 ACU |
| Feb 25, 2021 | ACU 86 – 72 SHSU |
| Jan 21, 2021 | SHSU 64 – 57 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 10-6 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.7 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#68) | -1.6 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#48) | -0.38 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#62) | -0.31 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#45) | 0.474 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 23.5% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 32.9% |
Game Analysis
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