Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | SHSU +150 ACU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +7 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | ACU -6.2 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -2.2 (+9.2) | 141.6 (-20.6) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -2.0 (+9.0) | 137.3 (-16.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -3.1 (+10.1) | 136.7 (-15.7) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -2.7 (+9.7) | 137.2 (-16.2) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2023 | SHSU 72 – 54 ACU |
| Feb 12, 2023 | SHSU 77 – 62 ACU |
| Feb 18, 2022 | SHSU 75 – 71 ACU |
| Jan 9, 2022 | SHSU 65 – 63 ACU |
| Feb 25, 2021 | ACU 86 – 72 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-9 | 24-5 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 13-2 |
| Home | 12-1 | 13-0 |
| Away | 7-6 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 61.6 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#184) | 7.6 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#77) | 1.39 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#99) | 2.06 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#60) | 0.525 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 43.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 29.1% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 35.5% |
Game Analysis
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